This is a follow up to my second offseason roster thoughts post. It has only been one week since I posted, but it was quite a week, and I wanted to update the cap and roster situation. I’m not going to project a final roster of 53 players this time but instead will focus on the current situation and what lies ahead.

Players Currently Under Contract in 2026

As of this writing, the Chargers have 64 players under contract for 2026. Here they are, along with their current 2026 cap hits from Over the Cap unless otherwise noted:

Pos Player Cap Number Notes
QB Justin Herbert  $        46,345,675 From OTC
S Derwin James  $        24,606,495 From OTC
OT Rashawn Slater  $        23,800,000 From OTC
Edge Khalil Mack  $        18,000,000 From OTC
OT Joe Alt  $          9,043,894 From OTC
CB Donte Jackson  $          8,500,000 From OTC
S Elijah Molden  $          7,916,666 From OTC
IDL Dalvin Tomlinson  $          7,500,000 From ProFootballRumors
Edge Tuli Tuipulotu  $          6,211,797 From OTC
IDL Teair Tart  $          6,020,000 From OTC
PK Cameron Dicker  $          5,725,000 From OTC
WR Quentin Johnston  $          4,514,614 From OTC
TE Charlie Kolar  $          4,333,333 From OTC
C Tyler Biadasz  $          4,250,000 From OTC
G Cole Strange  $          4,125,000 From OTC
RB Omarion Hampton  $          4,039,651 From OTC
LB Daiyan Henley  $          3,909,532 From OTC
P J.K. Scott  $          3,800,000 From OTC
Edge Bud Dupree  $          3,740,000 From OTC
OL Trey Pipkins

 $          3,685,294 From OTC
LB Troy Dye  $          3,600,000 From OTC
OL

Trevor Penning

 $          3,500,000 From OTC
FB Alec Ingold  $          3,275,000 From OTC
LB Del’Shawn Phillips  $          3,200,000 Assumed (Popper)
RB Keaton Mitchell  $          3,125,000 From Spotrac
WR Ladd McConkey  $          2,725,960 From OTC
LB Denzel Perryman  $          2,100,000 Assumed (Popper)
CB Deane Leonard  $          2,000,000 From Spotrac
WR Tre Harris  $          1,776,748 From OTC
LB Junior Colson  $          1,643,729 From OTC
IDL Jamaree Caldwell  $          1,434,833 From OTC
WR Derius Davis  $          1,322,982 From OTC
LS Josh Harris  $          1,300,000 Assumed (Popper)
IDL Justin Eboigbe  $          1,284,753 From OTC
Edge Kyle Kennard  $          1,237,641 From OTC
FB Scott Matlock  $          1,188,073 From OTC
CB Tarheeb Still  $          1,168,930 From OTC
CB Cam Hart  $          1,165,982 From OTC
RB Jaret Patterson  $          1,145,000 From OTC
WR KeAndre Lambert-Smith  $          1,107,001 From OTC
TE Oronde Gadsden II  $          1,098,509 From OTC
G Ben Cleveland  $          1,075,000 From OTC
RB Kimani Vidal  $          1,075,000 From OTC
S Kendall Williamson  $          1,075,000 From OTC
S R.J. Mickens  $          1,048,570 From OTC
CB Nikko Reed  $          1,010,000 From OTC
CB Jordan Oladokun  $          1,008,333 From OTC
LB Marlowe Wax  $          1,006,000 From OTC
LS Peter Bowden  $          1,005,000 From OTC
TE Tanner McLachlan  $          1,005,000 From OTC
CB Eric Rogers  $             891,666 From OTC
IDL Josh Fuga  $             888,333 From OTC
WR Dalevon Campbell  $             885,000 From OTC
IDL TeRah Edwards  $             885,000 From OTC
WR Luke Grimm  $             885,000 From OTC
WR JaQuae Jackson  $             885,000 From OTC
RB Amar Johnson  $             885,000 From OTC
S Emany Johnson  $             885,000 From OTC
C Josh Kaltenberger  $             885,000 From OTC
Edge Garmon Randolph  $             885,000 From OTC
OL Branson Taylor  $             885,000 From OTC
QB DJ Uiagalelei  $             885,000 From OTC
CB Isas Waxter  $             885,000 From OTC
TE Thomas Yassmin  $             885,000 From OTC
Total 64  $      262,174,994  

(Sorry for the poor formatting. I can’t figure out how to better format tables in this editor, and it refuses to allow me to upload .jpg or .png pictures.)

OverTheCap doesn’t yet show the signings of Harris, Perryman, or Tomlinson and does not yet have salary information for Mitchell or Phillips. I used other sources for those, as noted.

Deane Leonard

Note that Leonard was signed to a 1 year, $2M contract, but he qualifies for the veteran salary benefit, which allows NFL teams to sign players with four or more credited seasons to a one-year contract with a reduced salary cap hit. The cap charge is equivalent to that of a player with only two credited seasons.

Bud Dupree

In my first offseason roster post, I identified Edge Dupree as an expected cap casualty. He had a 2026 roster bonus of $1M due yesterday, and I have not seen any news on him, so I assume he remains on the roster and got that bonus. I assume that means he is going to remain on the roster at least until final cuts at this point, since the cap savings from releasing him now would be just $2.49M. Maybe the cap is so high now that the team doesn’t care about wasting $1M just to keep another Edge player on the roster until they get through the draft.

Roster Exclusions

With all due respect to these players currently on the active roster, I am going to assume none of them make the final 2026 53-man roster, and thus I am going to ignore them for the rest of this post:

  • QB – Uiagalelei
  • RB – Amar Johnson, Patterson
  • WR – Campbell, Grimm, Jackson
  • TE – McLachlan, Yassmin
  • OL – G Cleveland, C Kaltenberger, OL Taylor
  • Edge – Randolph
  • IDL – Edwards, Fuga, Matlock
  • CB – Oladokun, Rogers, Waxter
  • S – Emany Johnson
  • LS – Bowden

I expect many of these players will have a shot at opening the season on the practice squad.

With Ingold signed, Matlock’s only chance too make the team is at IDL. I sense that Harbaugh likes him, and I hope that does not lead the team to keep him.

If the team re-signs Jefferson, then I would add Williamson to the exclusion list… but it has been reported that Jefferson is unhappy with contract discussions with the Chargers. So I will stick with Williamson for now.

That leaves a core roster of 44 veteran players. Here is a revised table that removes the exclusions:

Pos Player Cap Number Notes
QB Justin Herbert  $        46,345,675 From OTC
S Derwin James  $        24,606,495 From OTC
OT Rashawn Slater  $        23,800,000 From OTC
Edge Khalil Mack  $        18,000,000 From OTC
OT Joe Alt  $          9,043,894 From OTC
CB Donte Jackson  $          8,500,000 From OTC
S Elijah Molden  $          7,916,666 From OTC
IDL Dalvin Tomlinson  $          7,500,000 From ProFootballRumors
Edge Tuli Tuipulotu  $          6,211,797 From OTC
IDL Teair Tart  $          6,020,000 From OTC
PK Cameron Dicker  $          5,725,000 From OTC
WR Quentin Johnston  $          4,514,614 From OTC
TE Charlie Kolar  $          4,333,333 From OTC
C Tyler Biadasz  $          4,250,000 From OTC
G Cole Strange  $          4,125,000 From OTC
RB Omarion Hampton  $          4,039,651 From OTC
LB Daiyan Henley  $          3,909,532 From OTC
P J.K. Scott  $          3,800,000 From OTC
Edge Bud Dupree  $          3,740,000 From OTC
OL Trey Pipkins  $          3,685,294 From OTC
LB Troy Dye  $          3,600,000 From OTC
OL Trevor Penning  $          3,500,000 From OTC
FB Alec Ingold  $          3,275,000 From OTC
LB Del’Shawn Phillips  $          3,200,000 Assumed (Popper)
RB Keaton Mitchell  $          3,125,000 From Spotrac
WR Ladd McConkey  $          2,725,960 From OTC
LB Denzel Perryman  $          2,100,000 Assumed (Popper)
CB Deane Leonard  $          2,000,000 From Spotrac
WR Tre Harris  $          1,776,748 From OTC
LB Junior Colson  $          1,643,729 From OTC
IDL Jamaree Caldwell  $          1,434,833 From OTC
WR Derius Davis  $          1,322,982 From OTC
LS Josh Harris  $          1,300,000 Assumed (Popper)
IDL Justin Eboigbe  $          1,284,753 From OTC
Edge Kyle Kennard  $          1,237,641 From OTC
CB Tarheeb Still  $          1,168,930 From OTC
CB Cam Hart  $          1,165,982 From OTC
WR KeAndre Lambert-Smith  $          1,107,001 From OTC
TE Oronde Gadsden II  $          1,098,509 From OTC
RB Kimani Vidal  $          1,075,000 From OTC
S Kendall Williamson  $          1,075,000 From OTC
S R.J. Mickens  $          1,048,570 From OTC
CB Nikko Reed  $          1,010,000 From OTC
LB Marlowe Wax  $          1,006,000 From OTC
Total 44  $      243,348,589  

Roster Nucleus

Here is the positional breakdown for those 44 veteran players:

  • Offense (18):
    • QB (1) – Herbert
    • RB (3) – Hampton, Vidal, Mitchell
    • FB (1) – Ingold
    • WR (5) – McConkey, Johnston, Harris, Lambert-Smith, Davis
    • TE (2) – Gadsden, Kolar
    • OL (6) – OT Alt, OT Slater, C Biadasz, RG Strange, OL Pipkins, OL Penning
  • Defense (23):
    • Edge (4) – Mack, Tuipulotu, Kennard, Dupree
    • IDL (4) – Tart, Tomlinson, Campbell, Eboigbe
    • LB (6) – Henley, Colson, Perryman, Dye, Phillips, Wax
    • CB (5) – Jackson, Still, Hart, Reed, Leonard
    • S (4) – James, Molden, Mickens, Williamson
  • Special Teams (3):
    • PK (1) – Dicker
    • P (1) – Scott
    • LS (1) – Harris

Let’s talk through the position groups again.

Quarterback

Nothing has changed here, so repeating excerpts from my previous QB summary.

Pretty straightforward. Herbert is QB1 and no QB2 is under contract. 2025 QB2 Lance is an Unrestricted Free Agent (UFA). The team’s decision about Lance doesn’t matter a lot to me. If Herbert misses games, Lance is not likely to win games in his place, but there is no clear and obvious alternative who would without committing a lot more cap space to the position.

My main priority here is for the team to have a veteran minimum salary player at QB2, and I don’t think Uiagalelei is the answer. I’m going to assume they sign Lance to a one-year contract.

Also, in case there was any question about rostering a QB3, the team should not do that. They can carry a third QB on the practice squad if they feel that is important.

Runningback

Hampton is obviously RB1. As expected, the Chargers re-signed Vidal for 2026.

In a mild surprise, the Ravens did not tender Keaton Mitchell, who was a Restricted Free Agent (RFA). That made him an Unrestricted Free Agent (UFA), and the Chargers signed him to a 2 year, $9.25M contract. He can earn up to an additional $1M in incentives each year. Ignoring the incentives, the Chargers can release him next offseason, which would make this effectively a 1 year, $5M contract, with $1.875M of that against the 2027 cap. That is a bit of a surprising contract value for Mitchell, who has rarely even been the Ravens’ RB2 in his career to date… that is arguably a better contract than the Chargers gave to Harris last year. Obviously, Hortiz knows him and thinks highly of his potential.

Setting aside the cap considerations for Mitchell, he is an interesting talent for McDaniel’s offense. He has had trouble staying healthy, but he has averaged 6.3 ypc on 121 career rushing attempts. He forced 27 missed tackles on those rushing attempts, and 22 of them were for 10+ yards. He also has 19 career receptions on 22 targets, averaging 9.7 ypr. Obviously, he is very explosive. If he stays healthy, he could surpass Vidal and be RB2.

I expect the team will re-sign UFA Haskins again. He just turned 26 and played for Harbaugh at Michigan. More importantly, he had the second highest PFF special teams grade (80.5) among 65 graded Chargers special teams players, after having the 8th best Chargers special teams grade (70.6) and playing the 4th highest number of special teams snaps on the team in 2024. He is a “core four” special teams player, playing on both return units and both coverage units. I’m going to assume they sign him to a one-year contract.

These moves should take RB out of play for the draft, which is a good thing.

Fullback

As expected, the team signed Ingold, and he locks up this position.

Wide Receiver

The Chargers have five WRs under contract: McConkey, Johnston, Harris, Lambert-Smith, and Davis. I have expected them to have 6 on the final roster.

In my previous offseason roster post, I wrote that I think Davis will be traded or released late before final roster cuts. He is more of a returner than offensive threat, so that really doesn’t affect the offensive rotation. That would mean replacing him as a punt returner, and it isn’t clear the team has a good solution for that, so he might make it for that reason alone.

So they need 1-2 WRs IMO.

I think the team should re-sign Keenan Allen. I posted this article earlier in the offseason: Should the Chargers Re-sign Keenan Allen? There is some good discussion there. I’m going to assume the Chargers sign Allen to another one-year contract.

Johnston is eligible to have his 5th year option exercised this offseason, but that would be at a projected 2027 cost of $18M. I think the Chargers could spend that cap space more wisely. I think they will let him play out his rookie contract in 2026 and then let him walk, hoping he will contribute positively to the comp pick formula.

I’m not confident the team will go with Allen, and I’m not confident they will not keep Davis. So this position group remains unsettled. For now, I’m going to assume Allen and Davis make it and take WR out of play in the draft.

Tight End

Gadsden had a very strong rookie season and looks like a high potential impact player in 2026 and beyond. As projected, the team signed Kolar. He got a higher contract value than any source had projected, so he may very well be the TE1 and Gadsden TE2, rather than the opposite.

The team still needs a third TE. While Gadsden looked good in his rookie season, I am hesitant to believe it is a good idea to rely on just these two TEs as their only TE receiving options. I think the third TE needs to be a capable receiving TE.

Since nothing has been reported, I assume the Chargers did not offer a qualifying tender to Fisk, in which case he is now a UFA. He could still be re-signed, but I don’t think he fits what the Chargers need from their third TE at this point.

I had projected in my previous post that the team would sign Jonnu Smith to reunite him with McDaniel. As far as I know, he remains unsigned, which means he could be the answer. Or the Chargers could plan to fill this need in the draft.

Offensive Line

The Chargers entered the offseason with only two OL under contract who were final roster caliber. Those two are Alt and Slater, both coming off serious injuries.

Hortiz has thus far taken his typical approach to the problem, looking for value in every transaction. He upgraded C by signing Biadasz and RG by signing Strange. He also re-signed Penning and Pipkins. Of these players, I had only projected the team to sign Penning. But, assuming Penning and Pipkins are expected to be depth players and not starters, I like all of these moves.

That leaves the starting LG as a significant need as of this writing, and the team also needs a backup center and backup guard. I know Pipkins and Penning both have guard experience, but I don’t really care to see either of them play guard again.

I expect the team to draft two IOL to address 2 of those 3 needs. That implies that the team will still sign one more veteran. At least it implies that if the team is not planning on Taylor or Cleveland making the final roster, and I certainly hope they are not.

As I have written previously, I think the team should install Alt as the long-term LT and move Slater to RT, since LT is more important for a right handed QB and Slater is coming off the more serious injury. I’m not confident the Chargers will do that, but, fortunately, that doesn’t matter for purposes of this post.

It is worth noting that Strange had the same injury as Slater. Like Slater, he missed the equivalent of a full season. Then, when he returned, it wasn’t until he was nearly two full seasons removed from the injury that he started playing close to his previous performance level. I hope we will see better results for Slater, but this is known to be a tough injury to come back strong from in just one year. This is part of my reasoning for moving him to RT.

I wouldn’t be surprised if this injury situation is a reason the team chose to re-sign both Penning and Pipkins. It could be that they are worried about needing someone other than Slater to start some games.

Cole Strange

I posted this in the comments of one of Kyle’s posts and wanted to repeat it here since I know many fans have been unenthusiastic to unhappy about the Strange signing. Here is the way I think we should view it.

First, here are his career snaps and PFF grades:

  • 2022 NE (all snaps at LG):
    • 54.6 offense on 982 snaps
    • 48.3 run blocking on 384 snaps
    • 67.8 pass blocking grade on 598 snaps
  • 2023 NE (all snaps at LG):
    • 64.6 offense on 564 snaps
    • 66.2 run blocking on 224 snaps
    • 57.7 pass blocking grade on 340 snaps
  • 2024 NE (all snaps at C):
    • 48.6 offense on 117 snaps
    • 40.4 run blocking on 42 snaps
    • 79.0 pass blocking grade on 75 snaps
  • 2025 MIA (all snaps at RG):
    • 54.9 offense on 808 snaps
    • 57.0 run blocking on 351 snaps
    • 42.2 pass blocking grade on 457 snaps

He tore his patellar tendon in week 15 of the 2023 season. Looking at his PFF grade progression up to that point, it looked like he had some potential to reach above average starter status.

He missed the rest of 2023 and the first 14 games of 2024. We have talked about this injury since Slater suffered it, so we know it is difficult to come back from at previous performance level in less than two years.

In addition, he changed teams for 2025 and also changed positions, moving to RG for the first time. It was his first time playing for McDaniel and OL coach Barry. He played the final 14 games for Miami. He showed really significant improvement in the last 7 games vs. the first 7, which is a reason for encouragement.

Straight averaging these game grades is not really the right way to do things, but I can’t figure out how to get PFF to allow me to show cumulative grades for a subset of games in a season. So here are his straight game grade averages just to provide an easier point of comparison:

  • Games 4-10 (7 games):
    • Offense grade average: 49.4
    • Run blocking grade average: 52.8
    • Pass blocking grade average: 38.2
  • Games 11-18 (7 games):
    • Offense grade average: 64.5
    • Run blocking grade average: 62.6
    • Pass blocking grade average: 61.1

That is massive improvement in the last 7 games. Why? We can reasonably assume he got better as:

  1. He got further from the injury.
  2. He gained snaps and experience at RG. 
  3. He gained snaps and experience in McDaniel’s scheme.

For those last two reasons, it is notable that he was on the Browns practice squad to open last season, and Miami signed him on September 9. He got his first start for Miami 20 days later in week 4.

He turns 28 in July, so he should be in his prime. Now he enters his second season in McDaniel’s scheme, his second season at RG (assuming he starts at RG rather than LG), and his third season removed from his injury. It seems reasonable to believe his performance should mimic his late season performance going forward.

If so, the Chargers arguably got a steal, and McDaniel and thus Hortiz knew it.

This makes me feel much better about RG and about the Chargers’ approach to the guard market in general. I still wish they had signed a starting LG, but maybe they still will. Regardless, I now feel cautiously optimistic that RG has been upgraded significantly at a Joe Hortiz special bargain price.

Edge

The team has four Edge players under contract for 2026: Mack, Tuli, Kennard, and Dupree. Mack was re-signed as projected, and I discussed Dupree earlier in this article. 

Tuli is eligible for a contract extension this offseason, and I think the Chargers will give it to him. He led the team with 75 pressures, and the next highest total was 42 (Mack); Tuli led the team with 14 sacks, and the next highest total was 11(Oweh); Tuli was tied with Derwin for first on the team with 34 stops. And he just turned 23 years old in September! He is not close to his prime yet.

I think Tuli will at least match Oweh, who got $25M per year from Washington. I think they could give him four years with an appropriate out after three. That would mean he would be under contract for 5 years for ~106M. That means they should be able to hold his 2026 cap hit down a bit, but I’m still guessing it will jump to $11M. Given his PPE raise already pushed his cap hit above $6M, this isn’t too bad.

Oweh’s departure has made Edge a top priority, and I now think that is the most likely position the Chargers will draft in the first round, assuming the draft falls right.

Interior Defensive Line (IDL)

The team now has four IDL players under contract: Tart, Tomlinson, Eboigbe, and Caldwell. This is a solid core group, but the team needs 1-2 more on the final roster.

I would normally expect the team to go with 6, but they now may need to keep 6 LBs on the final roster. More on that in a minute.

They had the ability to give some snaps to Matlock in the past, which enabled them to go with 5 dedicated IDL players, but they will no longer have that luxury from their FB. I don’t think Matlock should make the final roster as IDL only, especially not if the team only keeps 5. 

I expected the team to re-sign Hand, but he signed with Atlanta.

So the 5th IDL player remains to be determined. Before Oweh’s departure, I thought the team would likely use its first round pick on an IDL player like Banks, but, as of right now, Edge seems more likely. I could see a later round IDL draft pick.

Dalvin Tomlinson

So why Tomlinson for 1 year, $7.5M when Hand signed with Atlanta for 1 year, $3M. Good question, and I’m not sure about the reasoning on Hand. However, I have seen fans who have been unenthusiastic to unhappy with the Tomlinson signing, so I wanted to show some data.

Here is where Tomlinson’s overall PFF defense grade ranked among IDL players who played at least 100 defensive snaps since he entered the NFL:

  • 2025: 146 out of 170
  • 2024: 37 out of 175
  • 2023: tied for 65 out of 167
  • 2022: 14 out of 173
  • 2021: 17 out of 165
  • 2020: 26 out of 163
  • 2019: 17 out of 159
  • 2018: tied for 31 out of 147
  • 2017: tied for 22 out of 162

2025 looks like a bit of an outlier. And he has never played fewer than 555 defensive snaps in an NFL season in his career, which is a plus.

Could this be another Poona Ford like reclamation project? I’m not going to get my hopes up that high, but I do expect Tomlinson to perform better this season.

Linebacker

The Chargers now have six linebackers under contract for 2026: Henley, Colson, Perryman, Dye, Wax, and Phillips, who was re-signed as projected. Barring injury, all but Colson and Wax seem like locks for the final roster.

I would not have expected the team to carry 6 LBs on the final roster, so those two might be battling for one roster spot. Hard to believe the team might decide to move on from Colson this soon.

There should be no consideration of drafting a LB.

Cornerback

The team is in good shape with Jackson, Still, Hart, Reed, and Leonard (re-signed as projected) under contract for 2026. They need one more CB for the final roster, ideally an outside corner.

I had projected the team to re-sign St-Juste, but he signed with Green Bay. So the solution to that last CB spot is to be determined. I definitely think a draft pick is possible here.

Safety

The team is in good shape with James, Molden, and Mickens under contract for 2026. They need one more safety for the final roster, and I had assumed it would be Jefferson, but, as I noted earlier, that does not seem likely at this point. That is why I left Williamson off my roster exclusions list; he might be the 4th safety.

Although I have made the argument that it might be most beneficial to trade James, I expect the team will sign James to a contract extension this offseason. I’m fine with that. He is a great player, and it would certainly hurt the Chargers defense to lose him. Walking through this exercise has helped me to lean back towards keeping him being the right move. I’m going to assume they sign him to an extension that lowers his 2026 cap hit from $24.6M to $15M. I’m sure they could lower it more than that if they have a reason to clear more space, but I’m mindful of pushing too much into 2027 and beyond.

Placekicker

Thankfully, it’s Dicker. No change here.

Punter

It’s Scott. No change here.

Long Snapper

As expected, the team signed Harris, and he locks up this position.

Draft Picks

The team has five 2026 draft picks, shown here with their projected 2026 cap hits from OverTheCap:

Player Cap Number
Draft pick 1.22 (22)  $          3,769,174
Draft pick 2.23 (55)  $          1,586,108
Draft pick 3.22 (86)  $          1,256,256
Draft pick 4.23 (123)  $          1,165,544
Draft pick 6.23 (204)  $             952,893
5  $          8,729,975

The Chargers are not projected to get any compensatory picks in the 2026 draft.

With no 7th round picks, I expect these draft picks to all make the final roster. So far under Hortiz in two drafts, the Chargers have drafted 15 players in the first six draft rounds, and 14 were on the roster in 2025 (13 on the active roster and LB Colson on IR). The only exception was 2025 6th round pick OL Taylor, who spent the season on the Chargers practice squad. Taylor is currently on the active roster, but he is on my exclusions list, since I don’t think he is good enough to make the opening active roster this year.

Now let’s work out functional cap space.

Practice Squad

Teams are allowed to carry 16 practice squad players, including 4 veteran players. They can carry a 17th International Pathways Program player; I assume they will do so. Thus, I assume the Chargers will carry the full number of 17 players and will include 4 veteran players.

Non-veteran practice squad players will make $13,750 per regular season week on the squad. Over the 18 regular season weeks, that scales to $247.5K for the full season.

Veteran practice squad players will make between $18.35K and $22.85K per regular season week on the squad. Using the midpoint for 18 regular season weeks, that scales to $370.8K for the full season.

Do the math, and I’m projecting the practice squad to cost $4.7M against the 2026 cap.

Practice Squad Elevations

The CBA allows 2 practice squad players to be elevated every week. Those players get paid at NFL minimum salary level for each week they are elevated.

The Chargers elevated practice squad players a total of 29 times in the 2025 regular season. I will assume 30 2026 elevations for this projection, and I will assume 8 of the activations are veteran practice squad players to be somewhat conservative.

Do the math, and I’m projecting PS elevations to cost $1,007,700 against the 2026 cap.

In Season Injury Replacements

The team will also need to reserve some cap space for 2026 in season injury replacements. I don’t know for sure how the team thinks about this and plans for it, so let’s look at what happened in 2025.

  • LT Slater missed 17 regular season games while on IR.
  • LB Colson missed 17 regular season games while on IR.
  • RB Harris missed 15 regular season games while on IR.
  • OT Alt missed 9 regular season games while on IR.
  • CB Leonard missed 9 regular season games while on IR.
  • LS Harris missed 9 regular season games while on IR.
  • RB Hampton missed 7 regular season games while on IR.
  • TE Fisk missed 6 regular season games while on IR.
  • IDL Ogbonnia missed 5 regular season games while on IR.
  • Edge Mack missed 4 regular season games while on IR.
  • IDL Hand missed 4 regular season games while on IR.
  • LB Perryman missed 4 regular season games while on IR.
  • RB Haskins missed 4 regular season games while on IR.

That is 110 games missed by players on IR who otherwise would have been on the active roster and thus had to be replaced. The equivalent of about 6.5 full player seasons.

I will assume the team will reserve $7M for injury replacements, but that is just a guess.

Trades

Hortiz has demonstrated that he will make trades at the end of preseason (e.g., Heinicke, Molden) and in season (e.g., Oweh). This illustrates why it is appropriate to reserve a budget for such trades, although it is also true that the team could typically clear some space if needed by restructuring a veteran contract of one of the higher cap space veterans.

I will assume the team will reserve $7M for end of preseason and/or in season trades. If no trades are made, this can rollover into 2027.

Dead Cap Money

Based on current 2026 dead cap money plus the dead cap money that will be incurred for releasing the players I identified, here is a current projection of 2026 dead cap money:

Dead Cap Money
Pos Player Cap Number Notes
OL Mekhi Becton  $      2,500,000 From Spotrac
TE Will Dissly  $      1,500,000 From Spotrac
C Bradley Bozeman  $      1,060,000 From Spotrac
OL Branson Taylor  $         168,909 From Spotrac
RB Kimani Vidal  $         103,718 From Spotrac
CB Trikweze Bridges  $           76,254 From Spotrac
WR Brenden Rice  $           57,296 From Spotrac
Edge Garmon Randolph  $           13,334 From Spotrac
G Nash Jones  $           10,000 From Spotrac
T Corey Stewart  $           10,000 From Spotrac
OL Savion Washington  $           10,000 From Spotrac
IDL TeRah Edwards  $             6,667 From Spotrac
CB Myles Purchase  $             6,667 From Spotrac
WR Luke Grimm  $             3,334 From Spotrac
Edge Kylan Guidry  $             3,334 From Spotrac
S Jaylen Jones  $             3,334 From Spotrac
TE Stevo Klotz  $             3,334 From Spotrac
T Tyler McLellan  $             3,334 From Spotrac
RB Raheim Sanders  $             3,334 From Spotrac
C Josh Kaltenberger  $             2,000 From Spotrac
QB D.J. Uiagalelei  $             2,000 From Spotrac
WR Dalevon Campbell  $             1,334 From Spotrac
Total 22  $      5,548,183  

This will grow at final cuts.

Salary Cap Charges

Based on the data and assumptions I described above, this is what the salary cap charges look like:

Cap Charge Amount
Active contracts  $      243,348,589
Draft picks  $          8,729,975
Practice squad  $          4,700,700
Practice squad activations  $          1,007,700
Reserve/PUP  $                       –  
Reserve/Injured  $                       –  
Reserve/NFI  $                       –  
Dead cap money  $          5,548,177
Budget for in-season injuries  $          7,000,000
Budget for trades  $          7,000,000
Total  $      277,335,141

Functional Cap Space

The team is in good shape from a cap standpoint:

2026 Salary Cap Amount
Projected 2025 salary cap  $      301,200,000
2025 projected rollover  $          3,501,779
Adjustments  $          1,192,706
Estimated 2026 cap charges  $     (277,335,141)
Functional Cap Space  $        28,559,344

This data does not reflect the inevitable increase in dead money, but that should be fairly minimal.

Analysis

They have 44 veteran players I project to make the final roster plus five draft picks. That leaves four roster spots unaccounted for and players for 9 roster spots yet to be identified.

IMO they need (not listed in priority order):

  • QB2
  • RB4 – I expect it to be Haskins
  • WR4 – IMO KLS is WR5 and Davis is WR6 if he makes the team; this could be Allen
  • TE3
  • LG1
  • C2
  • Backup G – I hope this is not Cleveland or Taylor
  • Edge3 – I see Mack and Tuli as 1/2 in whichever order, Kennard and Dupree (if he makes the final roster) as 4/5, so they need a 3
  • IDL4/5 – I see Tart, Caldwell, and Tomlinson as top 3 now and Eboigbe as 4/5, depending on how they fill the other spot
  • CB3/4 – I see Jackson and Still as outside CB 1/2 and Reed and Leonard as outside CB 5/6, so Hart and TBD are 3/4; I assume slot 1 is James and 2 is Still

That is 10 positions. So someone in my 44 will have to get bumped.

That might happen due to injury, but we can’t predict that. So the most likely candidates seem like Edge Dupree, LB Colson, or LB Wax.

And obviously I have not accounted for the possibility that a UDFA makes the final roster, which would bump someone else. To Hortiz’s credit, it is a lot tougher for UDFAs to earn a bottom of final roster spot than it was under the Telesco regime…

The Chargers currently have ~$28.5M in available cap space, reserving $7M for in season injuries and $7M for trades. I expect Tuli’s cap hit to increase by ~$5M and Derwin’s to decrease by ~$9.6M when their contracts are extended. In that case, the team really has ~$33M to spend, even holding those reserves. They could ditch all or part of the trade reserve and have up to ~$40M.

That is more than enough to sign multiple impact veterans among those other four roster spots. Maybe a veteran LG starter? A veteran outside corner? Both?

Maybe a trade for a high contract value player like AJ Brown? I’m skeptical, but they have the cap space.

Frankly, I’m having trouble figuring out how they are going to spend their cap space.

Conclusion

The Chargers are going to get Slater and Alt back and significantly upgrade the offensive coaching and OL coaching. On top of those things, they finally have a center upgrade. This was already a team that won 11 games. There is no other playoff team that will get this level of upgrade in the offseason on top of their draft picks.

The media will presumably pick the Broncos and/or Chiefs to win the AFC West next season, but IMO the Chargers are the favorites as long as they don’t have similarly terrible injury luck next season. That means they should contend for the #1 seed in the AFC, as long as Hortiz uses the rest of the available cap space and the draft picks effectively.

Thoughts?

TA
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Tau837
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Kyle DeDiminicantanio
Admin
Reply to  Tau837
1 month ago

I’ve just been hoping we don’t make this move before the draft and lose the comp pick. If they end up trading QJ and waive/trade Davis, I wouldn’t mind bringing in Deebo after the draft – I would just hate to see it lose us a comp pick or restrict us from adding a young speedster.

Erick V
Erick V(@erick-v)
Member
Reply to  Kyle DeDiminicantanio
1 month ago

Agree. I would really like to add a draft pick or a post draft signing to the WR room. There’s a good chance Deebo isn’t signed until then anyway.

66_Jimbo
66_Jimbo(@66_jimbo)
Member
1 month ago

Spencer is in the house…..another “meh” guard…
https://www.reddit.com/r/Chargers/s/I2nyg7ADl6

Erick V
Erick V(@erick-v)
Member
Reply to  66_Jimbo
1 month ago

Who loves mediocrity better than us… NOBODY!!!

Kyle DeDiminicantanio
Admin
1 month ago

Another excellent breakdown Tau, nice work!

We may have fixed the formatting problems with this site rebuild. You should be able (and anyone that wants to write posts) to use the WordPress blog editor (it will load when you hit “Start a Storm.”

Catch is I still have to turn “Featured Images” off, which trigger a lock-out of the media gallery. Pictures might be hard to upload for a day or two but I’ll fix that soon.

There will be a couple other things I have to fix and iron out, so just let me know if anything you see seems off

Kyle DeDiminicantanio
Admin
Reply to  Tau837
1 month ago

I’m sorry Tau – I thought I responded to this… but I really appreciate the kind words. I’m still putting most of my attention into fixing odds and ends on the site, so if there are other little bugs you notice just let me know.

I’m really hoping this new format makes it easier to highlight the articles that you, Erick, and other members put out. I’m hoping to add some extra appeal to the “author pages” to members, and bring back stuff like highlighting comments with >3 likes in a different color (thinking gold) and other badges and such that identifies frequent posters and content creators.

Erick V
Erick V(@erick-v)
Member
Reply to  Tau837
1 month ago

Tau that happened to me also. I had to log out and back in and then I could access it. Maybe try that?

Kyle DeDiminicantanio
Admin
Reply to  Erick V
1 month ago

 Tau837 please give that a try and if it still doesn’t work I’ll see what I can do, but it should be working fine. I did have to adjust roles to make it work, which might be why the logout/login trick was needed

Erick V
Erick V(@erick-v)
Member
Reply to  Tau837
1 month ago

“Water, water everywhere, nor any drop to drink.”

Blue Beers
Blue Beers(@blue-beers)
Member
Reply to  Tau837
1 month ago

Nice summary Tau. There are some solid older players left that I could see them bringing in on 1-year deals that would chip away at the space. A rotational pass rusher like Clowney or Von Miller for example would probably get $6M – $8M (with incentives). I keep assuming they’ll add a WR too – whether Keenan, or maybe Deebo, someone in that vein… That’s another $7M or something like that.

So two moves like that right there would be a decent chunk of the space.

Erick V
Erick V(@erick-v)
Member
Reply to  Blue Beers
1 month ago

I think Edge will be a draft move. I can’t see them having 5 edges on the roster before the draft. If they cut Dupree, maybe they could sign someone, but the Edge class is a good one, so I would expect an eventual Mack replacement coming in the draft.

Last edited 1 month ago by Erick V
Blue Beers
Blue Beers(@blue-beers)
Member
Reply to  Erick V
1 month ago

Definitely would like to see an Edge added in the draft but no guarantees so my hope is basically that they cut Dupree and upgrade that spot.

Blue Beers
Blue Beers(@blue-beers)
Member
Reply to  Tau837
1 month ago

Agree 100%. I don’t think he wants to come back to this Org though.

Erick V
Erick V(@erick-v)
Member
Reply to  Blue Beers
1 month ago

Yeah from what I gather there was some bad blood when he left.

Erick V
Erick V(@erick-v)
Member
Reply to  Tau837
1 month ago

I mean that is what I gather from his comments made when he went to Buffalo about happy to be finally winning playoff games. I took that as a direct shot.

TDU_Alister
TDU_Alister(@alisterlloyd)
Reply to  Tau837
1 month ago

I don’t have any issue with Bosa in-principle. But the present composition of the room now lacks a rusher with either speed or bend, since Oweh left. Tuli and Mack are power rushers who set a hard edge. Bosa is another rusher of that type. I suppose they could always draft a bendy guy and then Bosa becomes the fourth in place of Dupree (or however you want to order the depth chart).

KathmanduSteve
KathmanduSteve(@kathmandusteve)
Member
1 month ago

This is so helpful! Thank you, Tau, for all the work it takes to put this together.

Of the $23M you project in current cap space, obviously some will be spent on a vet to compete for starting LG, $7-8M. I also hope and believe that Keenan gets another year with the Chargers, so there’s $5M.

I’d expect RB, Edge, LG potential starter and C backup will be added through the draft, along with a speed WR (to possibly replace Davis). That’d be 5 draft picks – I hope they can trade back to get another day 2 pick. Would be nice to nab a corner in the draft.

That’d still leave IDL as a FA need.

Erick V
Erick V(@erick-v)
Member
Reply to  KathmanduSteve
1 month ago

I have been doing some mock drafts and the teams that have a good amount of mid round picks that might be willing to swap our 22 for a 2nd rounder and some mid picks are Arizona, Baltimore, Chicago, Cincinnati, Cleveland, Houston, Indy, Jets and Tennessee. Miami could also, but they are so cap strapped, they need every cheap player available. Houston would be a good partner to trade with. According to the draft chart I looked at pick #22 is worth 253 points. They could give us # 38, 69, 141 which equals 243. If we wanted it even closer we could also ask for #167 which totals 251. They are a team that feels it is in a SB window also, so maybe having two first round picks is enticing to them? That would leave them with 22/28/59/106/103. They could trade down from 59 or 106 to get more picks also. Probably not going to happen, but worth a look. Having only five picks and only three in the top 100 really sucks.

Last edited 1 month ago by Erick V
Blue Beers
Blue Beers(@blue-beers)
Member
Reply to  Erick V
1 month ago

Wow, I did not realize the Texans are setup so well in the draft! They have two 2nds, two 3rds, two 4ths, and two 5ths!

Interestingly, a lot of their team needs are similar to ours, especially IOL.

Erick V
Erick V(@erick-v)
Member
Reply to  Blue Beers
1 month ago

But they don’t have McDaniel, so quality IOL is actually important to them.

66_Jimbo
66_Jimbo(@66_jimbo)
Member
Reply to  Blue Beers
1 month ago

Well, they just signed Teller.