Hey Stormcloud, we’re doing a #TDUMailbag segment on the show on Monday (ahead of Wk 1).
If you want to ask a question that we’ll answer on the show, comment on this post.
Preseason, regular season, roster construction, season predictions, Chargers, NFL, anything, FIRE AWAY! FOOTBALL IS ALMOST BACK! 🤩
Cheers!
Alister
Long time team fan, podcaster (with Thunder Down Under Chargers Podcast), husband to a beautiful wife, friend to all fellow Chargers fanatics, and father-to-be!
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Listened to the show today. I was surprised by the score predictions for the Cardinals game. While I think they win comfortably, I’m not sure it will be a blowout unless there is a defensive or ST TD. I am thinking some thing like 24-17? Maybe the Cards score late in garbage time to make it look closer than it was.
As far as Herbert yelling at the OL, I would hope we don’t see it much or at all. I think that was more from dysfunction last year than it was commanding the offense.
Alister, I place a Chargers SB wager right after the previous seasons SB is over and they come out with the future odds. We only have to be right once to look like a genius.
Football is back boys. Enjoy the game, and the Chargers game. Looking forward to hearing about the experience on the next pod.
Hey Erick!
I think we were all feeling it on the show. Week 1 can produce some strange results but when I consider:
Why shouldn’t we be a little confident about this one? The big threat is if their ground game gets going early with one of our starting LBs missing. Otherwise, I’m confident this game won’t be close.
I need to go place this bet!
Thanks mate. Jack has just touched down in Melbourne. Can’t wait!
Couple of questions….
What do you think is the sticking point with Tuli’s extension and how important is he to the future of the team?
What is your opinion of the possibility/intent to “platoon” the LG position? Keep in mind one of the players platooned will be Pipkins and they’ll be next to a rookie center.
What do you think Herbert’s #s will look like in this offense? I’m thinking 5k+ yards, 35-40 TD’s, 60+% completion rate, <10 interceptions. Those could be MVP #s but I expect a snub there because it’s the Chargers.
Prediction on Messidoor’s #s. I think it’s possible he hits double digit sacks with half lining up inside.
Thanks! Looking forward to the next show. Enjoy the game!!!
Excellent question, Buck! We’ll get through all of thse.
(And thank you! We’re so excited about Friday (our time))
Punter. Is there any recently cut punter who can come in and challenge for the Chargers job? I have grown a bit tired of the untimely shank. They should have went after Matt Ariza when he was available yet the Chiefs went out and signed him. Perhaps they tried but I wish they had used one of those late round picks on one of the college kickers to at least try out for the team….anyone available?
Hey Al – I don’t always have time to post, but I do want the three of you to know that I listen to and enjoy every show.
I disagreed a bit with some of your positional analysis on the last show. I thought you guys were a bit pessimistic (or I have early September optimism). It’s probably the latter… Questions:
Thanks for these thoughtful questions, Kev! We’ll try answer all of them.
Interestingly, I posted a poll on X asking fans where they think the Chargers’ roster ranks heading into the season (1-8, 9-16, 17-24, 25-32). The results were 34.8%, 63.8%, 0%, 1.4%.
I agree with the majority position and I would probably rank us somwhere between 10-15. I think that’s a shame given the $100m cap space Hortiz had to worth with heading into the offseason with Herbert as QB1 and two All-Pro calibre tackles returning. He should’ve been able to create a Top 8 roster IMO.
What that means is my season expectations have shifted from ‘genuine SB contender’ to ‘team could win a SB but almost everything will have to go right, including no real injuries, and a lot falls on McDaniel and O’Leary’s shoulders as playcallers”.
I trust McDaniel to create a Top 8 NFL Offense.
I don’t trust O’Leary yet and he will have to earn my trust because I’m concerned about the aggression he’s shown in the preseason. If he carries it into the regular season, I think it will lead to higher variance play from that side of the ball, which isn’t the approach I would personally favour given our Offense could be a difference-maker. I see Ryan has posted an article about this topic though which I haven’t read yet. It could shift my mindset.
Right now I’m expecting an ‘exciting’ start to the season because we’ll beat the pants off the Cardinals and should beat the Raiders. Then the real test of our roster and coaching comes over that next 8 game stretch.
Still can’t wait to watch it!
So, every quarter, our club hosts a wine event where 12 different distributors bring 10-15 different wines for members to taste – our latest was last Thursday. At the end of the night, all the distributors go home and leave any wine that hasn’t been finished on their tables. Those of us still standing (which always includes me) grab the left-over bottles and take them home. They’re all open. I ended up with 15 bottles – My wife and I have been trying to work through them over the long weekend. Down to 2 left, so take the next comment in that context.
I think the Chargers roster is top-5. I think the Chargers staff is top-5. I think the Chargers front office is top-5.
Agree that we will know what we have after week 10. Get to that point with 7 or more wins, and this will be a team that can do damage in the post-season
Also agree that the team should have done more with the cap space. I am willing to see what other cards Hortiz is going to play as the season unfolds. Having that much cap space in-season gives the Chargers the ability to add salary in-season. I could see a trade for a piece that could make a difference down the stretch. Hortiz has earned some grace.
1. Is the Chargers roster top 5? IMO no.
Is QB top 5? Maybe, but maybe just outside top 5.
Is RB/FB group top 5? No.
Is WR group top 5? No.
Is TE group top 5? No.
Is OL top 5? Not with Biadasz injured for sure. Had he remained healthy, maybe.
Is DL top 5? No.
Is Edge group top 5? No.
Is LB group top 5? No.
Is CB group top 5? Not even close.
Is S group top 5? Probably.
Is special teams top 5? Maybe; it’s certainly not a lock.
I don’t see how it can be a top 5 roster with no position group except possibly safety a top 5 group.
2. Is the Chargers coaching staff top 5?
Maybe. I think McDaniel is probably the best OC in the league. Elston and Clinkscale are top 5. The rest, hard for me to say. O’Leary is unknown, and that is a big unknown. I don’t think Harbaugh is a top 5 HC; he is close, but not that good.
Altogether, it’s hard for me to assess this as a top 5 staff. Probably top 10.
3. Is the Chargers front office top 5?
I don’t know how anyone could argue this. Based on what? Since Hortiz was hired, drafting has generally been very good, and he has done a nice job of working trades and the waiver wire. But IMO he has not done a good job with free agency.
As of today, these players are among the Chargers’ best players: QB Herbert, LT Slater, Edge Mack, Edge Tuli, LB Henley, S James, PK Dicker. The current front office inherited all of those players. I’m not saying Hortiz hasn’t brought in other core players, just observing.
Tau,
I think the Edge group and the DL has a chance to be in a top 5 discussion. How many teams have more proposed pass rush than Mack, Tuli and Mesidor? Now while Mesidor has to prove it, I don’t think there are many teams that can beat a Mack/Tuli duo and they are definitely a top 5 duo in the league right now.
The DL has to prove it, but if Egboigbe really takes a step and Tomlinson and Caldwell can anchor the interior, they have a shot to be close to a top 5 unit.
I agree with the rest of the assessment. I think the CB group is particularly shallow, which again is unfathomable with the cap space we had.
We are not even in the top 10 in most pundits’ national rankings (especially when considering the entirety of the D-line and not just Edge). I think we have upside though obviously if Mesidor is the real deal and I think (hope) Caldwell is going to make a big step up and become a more known name after this season.